There were only 5 new retail projects that opened in 2021.
Please click on the links below to see the details for each new project.
Retail News
Please click on the links below to see the details for each new project.
South includes: AL, GA, NC, SC, TN, VA
Openings: 64 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 2
AMC: 1
At Home: 1
Badcock Furniture: 1
Big Lots: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 1
buybuy Baby: 1
Citi Trends: 1
Crunch Fitness: 1
Dollar General: 17
Dollar Tree: 14
Electronic Express: 1
Family Dollar Stores: 8
Five Below: 1
Goodwill: 1
Harris Teeter: 1
Hobby Lobby: 2
HomeGoods: 1
Lowes Foods: 1
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: 1
Pet Supplies Plus Inc.: 1
Planet Fitness: 1
Publix: 2
Sears Appliance: 1
ULTA: 1
Closings: 48 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
AMC: 2
Badcock Furniture: 1
Bealls Outlet: 1
Bed Bath & Beyond: 3
Books A Million: 1
buybuy Baby: 1
CVS: 1
Dollar General: 7
Dollar Tree: 1
DSW Shoe Warehouse: 1
Electronic Express: 1
Family Dollar Stores: 7
Gold’s Gym: 1
Goodwill: 2
Kirkland’s, Inc.: 3
Lidl: 1
Piggly Wiggly: 1
Publix: 1
Regal Cinemas: 1
Save-A-Lot: 1
Sears Appliance: 3
Shoe Carnival: 1
Walgreens: 5
Openings: 35 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 2
Ashley Furniture: 1
At Home: 1
dd’s Discounts: 4
Dollar General: 8
Dollar Tree: 3
Family Dollar Stores: 3
Five Below: 2
Floor and Decor: 1
Gold’s Gym: 1
Hobby Lobby: 2
HomeGoods: 2
Planet Fitness: 1
Sprouts Farmers Market: 1
ULTA: 1
Closings: 18 stores
CVS: 2
Dollar General: 3
Dollar Tree: 3
Family Dollar Stores: 4
Golf Galaxy: 1
Hobby Lobby: 1
Kirkland’s, Inc.: 1
True Value Company: 1
Tuesday Morning: 1
ULTA: 1
Openings: 11 stores
ABC Fine Wine & Spirits: 1
Crunch Fitness: 2
dd’s Discounts: 1
Dick’s Sporting Goods: 1
Dollar Tree: 3
Family Dollar Stores: 1
Sprouts Farmers Market: 1
Trader Joe’s: 1
Closings: 6 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
Bealls Outlet: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 1
Navarro Discount Pharmacy: 1
Petco: 1
Save-A-Lot: 1
With nearly no new retail shopping center construction, most big boxes aren’t expanding by going into new construction projects – instead, they are going into existing shopping centers or building freestanding box spaces.
Grocery stores and discount stores account for 75% of the box store growth. Those two areas have a good deal of overlapping sales and, as a result, they are fiercely competing to win the hearts of consumers. We are witnessing an epic battle where scale, logistics, site selection and technology are being deployed to win market share. Stay tuned – we will have regular updates on the winners and the losers.
Big box space comprises 75% of the retail inventory in Florida and represents 80% of sales. Far from shrinking, in 2021 big box retailers added 182 locations across the state and added a net of 4.0M SF of new space. So clearly, neither the retail apocalypse or the pandemic are affecting the big box players.
Small shops, meanwhile, represent all of the retail contraction in Florida, closing a total of 480 stores statewide. But the majority of these closures were not from retailers or restaurants ‒ those national tenants closed only 38 and 31 stores, respectively, which represents only a minor post-Covid adjustment. Instead, the majority of the national retailer contraction was felt in the service industry and in the banking sector. While the pandemic may explain the challenges faced by the service industry, banks were primarily affected by two factors. First, SunTrust and BB&T merged into Truist, a move which directly caused 50% of the branch closings. Second, the continued rise in online banking has impacted the banking industry as a whole, prompting the entire sector to operate more efficiently.
New retail projects are very rare, but keep an eye on apartments – with Florida’s continued growing population, we will need to add 5M new housing units and apartments by 2040. Existing retail centers will go through a good deal of redevelopment and any new construction will almost inevitably contain a large apartment component.
Retailers are now embracing new ways to grow their sales with deliveries and curbside pick-ups. These growth-driving innovations are driving up sales without the need for additional retail space. Retail as a whole is transforming into a hyper-efficient system.
By 2017-2018, all four major markets surpassed their previous highs ‒ and the numbers have only increased since. Over the last seven years retail property rents have risen by 3-4% annually, significantly exceeding the overall rate of inflation or CPI. By 2023, we project base rental rates to range from $28-36 depending on the market.
The Great Financial Crisis in 2008 saw a major spike in vacancy rates, the effects of which lasted well into 2014. However, retailers have been filling vacancies at a steady pace since then. As of 2021, vacancy rates in all four major markets dipped below 10% and are projected to be at or below 8% by 2023.
However, in those years when a large volume of projects trade, they do so at significantly lower cap rates. In 2005, the average large transaction traded for a 7% cap; today, those projects are trading for a 5% cap. We project cap rates will continue this downward trajectory and dip below 5% in 2022, possibly signaling a period of an irrational exuberance.
South includes: AL, GA, NC, SC, TN, VA
Openings: 68 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 2
Aldi: 1
Ashley Furniture: 3
Barnes & Noble: 1
Crunch Fitness: 2
Dollar General: 28
Dollar Tree: 4
Family Dollar Stores: 8
Goodwill: 1
Habitat for Humanity: 1
Harbor Freight Tools USA: 6
Party City: 1
Pet Supplies Plus Inc.: 1
Piggly Wiggly: 1
Planet Fitness: 3
Publix: 4
Total Wine & More: 1
Closings: 30 stores
AMC: 3
Books A Million: 1
buybuy Baby: 1
Compare Foods: 1
Crunch Fitness: 1
Dick’s Sporting Goods: 1
Family Dollar Stores: 5
Five Below: 1
Gold’s Gym: 3
Goodwill: 1
Greenwise: 1
Habitat for Humanity: 1
Harbor Freight Tools USA: 1
Kirkland’s, Inc.: 1
Office Max: 1
Piggly Wiggly: 1
Publix: 1
Save-A-Lot: 2
Sears: 1
Total Wine & More: 1
True Value Company: 1
Openings: 39 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
Ashley Furniture: 1
Citi Trends: 1
Crunch Fitness: 1
Dollar General: 11
Dollar Tree: 3
Family Dollar Stores: 10
Floor and Decor: 1
Goodwill: 2
Harbor Freight Tools USA: 2
H-E-B: 1
LA Fitness: 1
Pet Supplies Plus Inc.: 1
Planet Fitness: 1
Walgreens: 1
Closings: 16 stores
AMC: 1
Bed Bath & Beyond: 1
Cost Plus World Market: 1
Dick’s Sporting Goods: 1
Dollar Tree: 1
DSW Shoe Warehouse: 2
Family Dollar Stores: 2
Goodwill: 1
H-E-B: 1
Kirkland’s, Inc.: 1
Office Depot: 3
Walgreens: 1
Openings: 20 stores
Badcock Furniture: 1
BJ’s: 1
Crunch Fitness: 1
Dollar General: 7
Dollar Tree: 3
Family Dollar Stores: 1
Floor and Decor: 1
Hobby Lobby: 1
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: 1
Publix: 2
Sprouts Farmers Market:1
Closings: 18 stores
CVS: 1
Dollar General: 1
Dollar Tree: 2
Goodwill: 1
Kirkland’s, Inc.: 1
Office Depot: 6
Office Max: 2
Save-A-Lot: 1
Sears: 1
True Value Company: 2
South includes: AL, GA, NC, SC, TN, VA
Openings: 73 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 2
Aldi: 1
American Freight: 1
Big Lots: 3
Burlington Coat Factory: 5
Chuck E Cheese: 1
Citi Trends: 1
CMX Cinemas: 1
Dollar General: 26
Dollar Tree: 4
Family Dollar Stores: 3
Five Below: 1
Food Lion/Delhaze: 1
GFS Marketplace: 1
Goodwill: 2
Habitat for Humanity: 3
Harbor Freight Tools USA: 2
Home Depot: 1
Kohl’s: 2
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: 1
Party City: 1
Planet Fitness: 3
Rooms To Go Kids: 1
Ross: 3
ULTA: 3
Closings: 15 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
Big Lots: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 1
CMX Cinemas: 1
Dollar General: 1
Dollar Tree: 1
Family Dollar Stores: 1
Habitat for Humanity: 2
Home Depot: 1
Save-A-Lot: 4
Sears Appliance: 1
Openings: 30 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
Bealls Outlet: 1
Big Lots: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 3
Citi Trends: 1
Costco: 1
dd’s Discounts: 2
Dollar General: 6
Dollar Tree: 1
Family Dollar Stores: 5
Five Below: 2
Goodwill: 1
H-E-B: 1
Home Depot: 1
Pet Supplies Plus Inc.: 1
Tuesday Morning: 1
ULTA: 1
Closings: 8 stores
Best Buy: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 1
Crunch Fitness: 1
Dollar General: 1
Goodwill: 2
H-E-B: 1
Walgreens: 1
Openings: 28 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
American Freight: 1
At Home: 1
Barnes & Noble: 1
Big Lots: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 2
CMX Cinemas: 1
Dollar General: 3
Dollar Tree: 1
Five Below: 1
Home Depot: 1
HomeGoods: 1
Pet Supplies Plus Inc.: 1
Planet Fitness: 2
Presidente Supermarket: 1
Publix: 1
Rooms To Go: 2
Rooms To Go Kids: 1
Ross: 1
TJ Maxx: 1
Total Wine & More: 1
Trader Joe’s: 1
Walgreens: 1
Closings: 11 stores
Fresco Y Mas : 1
Pet Supplies Plus Inc.: 1
Publix: 1
Rooms To Go: 2
Rooms To Go Kids: 2
Save-A-Lot: 2
TJ Maxx: 1
True Value Company: 1
South includes: AL, GA, NC, SC, TN, VA
Openings: 76 stores
Aldi: 2
Ashley Furniture: 1
Barnes & Noble: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 6
Citi Trends: 1
CVS: 2
dd’s Discounts: 1
Dick’s Sporting Goods: 1
Dollar General: 24
Dollar Tree: 4
Family Dollar Stores: 8
Five Below: 4
Gold’s Gym: 1
Habitat for Humanity: 2
Harbor Freight Tools USA: 2
Home Depot: 1
HomeGoods: 1
Party City: 1
Piggly Wiggly: 1
Planet Fitness: 2
Save-A-Lot: 3
Sprouts Farmers Market: 1
Trader Joe’s: 2
ULTA: 1
Walgreens: 2
West Marine: 1
Closings: 32 stores
Ashley Furniture: 2
Bargain Hunt: 1
Big Lots: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 1
Chuck E Cheese: 1
CVS: 2
Dollar General: 4
Dollar Tree: 2
Family Dollar Stores: 2
Gold’s Gym: 2
Habitat for Humanity: 1
Jo-Ann Fabric: 1
Office Max: 1
Planet Fitness: 1
Regal Cinemas: 1
Save-A-Lot: 2
Staples: 1
Walgreens: 5
West Marine: 1
Openings: 39 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 2
Burlington Coat Factory: 2
Costco: 1
Crunch Fitness: 1
CVS: 2
dd’s Discounts: 2
Dollar General: 6
Dollar Tree: 2
Esporta Fitness: 4
Family Dollar Stores: 6
Five Below: 2
Harbor Freight Tools USA: 1
Michaels Stores: 1
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: 4
Pet Supplies Plus Inc.: 1
Ross: 1
Shoe Carnival: 1
Closings: 12 stores
CVS: 4
Esporta Fitness: 1
LA Fitness: 4
Regal Cinemas: 1
Shoe Carnival: 1
Havertys Furniture: 1
Openings: 37 stores
American Freight: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 5
CVS: 1
Dollar General: 10
Dollar Tree: 1
Esporta Fitness: 5
Five Below: 1
Floor and Decor: 2
Habitat for Humanity: 1
Michaels Stores: 1
Publix: 4
Winn Dixie: 1
Closings: 19 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
CVS: 3
Dollar General: 1
Dollar Tree: 1
Family Dollar Stores: 1
Habitat for Humanity: 2
LA Fitness: 5
Powerhouse Gym: 1
Publix: 1
Sedano’s Supermarket: 1
Walgreens: 2
South includes: AL, GA, NC, SC, TN, VA
Openings: 67 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 2
Bargain Hunt: 1
Bealls Outlet: 1
Big Lots: 1
Burlington Coat Factory: 1
CVS: 1
Dollar General: 27
Dollar Tree: 7
Family Dollar Stores: 2
Five Below: 4
Floor and Decor: 1
Habitat for Humanity: 1
Harbor Freight Tools USA: 2
Hobby Lobby: 2
HomeGoods: 1
Jo-Ann Fabric: 1
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: 2
Piggly Wiggly: 1
Planet Fitness: 2
Powerhouse Gym: 1
Publix: 1
Target: 1
Total Wine & More: 1
Trader Joe’s: 1
ULTA: 1
Walgreens: 1
Closings: 34 stores
Ace Hardware Corporation: 1
Bealls Outlet: 1
Bed Bath & Beyond: 3
Big Lots: 1
CVS: 2
Dollar General: 10
Dollar Tree: 2
Family Dollar Stores: 3
Fitness Connection: 1
Jo-Ann Fabric: 1
Piggly Wiggly: 1
Powerhouse Gym: 1
Save-A-Lot: 2
Total Wine & More: 1
True Value Company: 2
Walgreens: 2